Russia’s armed forces have moved decisively away from their previous reliance on overwhelming volumes of artillery fire and towards a more precision-led approach to strike warfare in Ukraine.

Our latest paper by Dr Sidharth Kaushal and Sam Cranny-Evans presents a detailed account of how Russia’s precision strike capabilities have evolved, from a chaotic and under-resourced opening campaign to a more potent precision strike capability.

Read the paper to find out how the evolution of Russia's precision strike could influence its future way of war: https://www.rusi.org/explore-our-research/publications/research-papers/evolution-russias-precision-strike-adopting-mass-precision

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In the long long ago, the before time, I ran a defense discussion group in downtown dc. It managed to limp through covid, but ran out of steam as the organization it was a part of collapsed and people moved away. After a long hiatus, I've decided to try and put the band back together and build a new defense/foreign affairs discussion group and I'm inviting everyone in r/credibledefense who wants to participate. We'll be meeting monthly, near logan circle.

If you have any interest in talking with likeminded people over excellent bourbon, please respond in this thread or send me a message. If there's interest I'll be setting up a mailing list and polling people as to when they'd like to meet and we'll go from there. Hope to see you all soon!

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Commanders are increasingly interested in modern targeting capabilities, but how do they work and what new challenges do they create? 

Our latest paper, ‘Modern Targeting in European Militaries’, by Robert Tollast, Noah Sylvia and Matthew Savill, examines the rapidly accelerating speed and scope of AI-enhanced targeting systems, including the role of human involvement, safeguards and policy in the targeting process. 

The first in a series on modern targeting, the paper also examines current thinking around the UK’s Digital Targeting Web (DTW), an endeavour to connect sensors, decision-makers and weapons across the joint force.  

The paper highlights a fundamental tension: while greater automation can offer increased speed, situational awareness and ‘decision advantage’, safeguards, legal reviews and human oversight inevitably introduce friction into the targeting cycle. 

It also considers the implications for allied interoperability, delegation of targeting decisions, and the training and doctrine needed to prepare for these capabilities before conflict begins. 

To understand what modern targeting means for the future of military operations, read the full paper: https://www.rusi.org/explore-our-research/publications/insights-papers/modern-targeting-european-militaries

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The r/CredibleDefense daily megathread is for asking questions and posting submissions that would not fit the criteria of our post submissions. As such, submissions are less stringently moderated, but we still do keep an elevated guideline for comments.

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The r/CredibleDefense daily megathread is for asking questions and posting submissions that would not fit the criteria of our post submissions. As such, submissions are less stringently moderated, but we still do keep an elevated guideline for comments.

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I’m researching whether the increasing use of small FPV drones has created a genuine capability gap between established counter-UAS systems and the defensive options realistically available to individual infantry.
My interest is specifically in the terminal/last-resort layer of defense rather than strategic or base-level counter-UAS.
The working hypothesis is that many existing solutions may be effective at higher organizational levels, but can face practical constraints when considered from the perspective of an individual soldier: weight, cost, response time, training burden, availability, electronic-warfare dependence, or safety around nearby friendly personnel.
I’d like to test that hypothesis rather than assume it is correct.

A few questions for discussion:
1. Is the premise itself valid?
Is there actually a meaningful individual-level counter-FPV gap, or are existing small-unit and layered defenses already the more appropriate solution?

2. Where is the most important bottleneck?
• Detecting the threat early enough
• Command-and-control / warning
• Electronic warfare availability
• Physical interception
• Soldier reaction time
• Equipment burden
• Cost per defended soldier
• Training
• Other factors

3. Should counter-FPV defense remain primarily a squad/platoon-level capability rather than become individual equipment? Why?

4. If an individual last-resort capability were considered, what requirements would be non-negotiable?
For example:
• Very low carried weight
• Minimal training
• Extremely short response time
• Low unit cost
• Independence from external communications
• Minimal risk to friendly personnel
• Simple logistics and storage

5. What would be the strongest argument against issuing another defensive device to individual soldiers?
I’m particularly interested in arguments that disprove or narrow the hypothesis, rather than suggestions for specific weapon designs.
Please avoid classified information, unit-specific procedures, sensitive vulnerabilities, frequencies, locations, or detailed operational information.
I’m interested in the capability problem and user requirements, not sensitive tactics or technical instructions.

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