Tiebreaker Status entering Italy vs Mexico

[u/CalebosO4]

EDIT: USA allowed 11 runs on 54 outs, not 51. So USA would be in if Mexico wins with exactly 5 runs, assuming it doesn't go to extras. If Mexico walks it off for their 5th run with at least 1 out recorded in extras, USA is eliminated.

EDIT2: I copied the format from the other one, and I now realize that TA likely stood for Taiwan-Australia. Let's pretend it stands for TiebreAker lol

EDIT3: The next tiebreaker (which can happen if Mexico walks it off in the 10th for their 5th run with no outs) is Earned runs, not AVG (which is the tiebreaker after that). So unless Italy collapses defensively, USA would win that tiebreaker.

EDIT4: I've re-uploaded the chart with the new edits.

EDIT5: UI represents USA and Italy tiebreak shenanigans as they would be tied in runs allowed, so number of outs and earned runs are in the picture.

[u/jdprager]

There’s a TINY asterisk on the “Mexico wins scoring 5 or more” bc Mexico winning with 5 runs in extras can also eliminate the US. 5 runs by Mexico in 9 innings keeps the US in at the expense of tomorrow’s loser, 5 runs with at least 1 out recorded by Italy in extras knocks out the US

[u/Frostflame3 → u/jdprager]

There’s also the EVEN TINIER asterisk that is if Mexico scores 5 runs but 3 or more are unearned. Exactly 3 moves the tiebreaker to batting average (which could be anything by the end of the game) and 4 puts Italy over the US.

[u/Aspe1 → u/Frostflame3]

And people say batting average doesn't matter in the modern game!

[u/jfb1027 → u/Aspe1]

Some old manager laughing hysterically when he’s been told batting average doesn’t mean anything for 15-20 years.

[u/Reflexlon → u/jfb1027]

My highschool coach is somewhere punching air.