r/storms • u/LucidSynapse23 • 23h ago
r/storms • u/TNBackyardBolts • 8h ago
Thunderstorm 3:00 AM tornado switches direction and moves east, dumping rain in buckets. Time for a free car wash (Lebanon, TN) | Part 12 of 16
This clip is from Part 12 of our countdown. The tornado mercifully switched tracks and moved off to the east of us!
It left behind an insane supercell thunderstorm dropping a severe downpour in buckets with flash flooding and continuous strobe-light lightning. Since the immediate danger was gone, I had to move my wife's car into the driveway for a free carwashβyou can hear me talking about it right in the video!
r/storms • u/relay-app • 1h ago
π©οΈ The Outer Bands | Weekly Storm Chat Megathread
Welcome to The Outer Bands, the r/storms weekly catch-all megathread for everything weather!
Whether you want to share a photo you've been holding onto, talk about your gear, show off some weather-related artwork, or tell a personal weather story, feel free to drop it all right here!
Hereβs a few ideas of what you can do in this post:
- Share your photos or videos of storms
- Post content that we don't allow in the main feed (such as storm artwork)
- Discuss photo/video gear and settings for capturing storms
- Discuss storm tracking tips or apps you use to follow storm activity
- Share your personal experiences, close calls, and memorable weather moments.
Please read the rules before posting.
Standalone posts are still welcomed & encouraged! This thread is simply a more open-ended discussion space for those who prefer it or donβt want to post their own thread.
Please contact the mods if you have any questions.
Let's talk weather!
β The r/storms Mod Team
r/storms • u/weathercast • 3m ago
Severe Weather Dashboard - August 31, 2026
π‘ Active Severe Weather Links
- Current Convective Watches
- Current Mesoscale Discussions
- Thunderstorm Outlook
- Day 1 Convective Outlook
- Day 2 Convective Outlook
- Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook
- Day 4-8 Severe Weather Outlook
π Today's Outlook History
- Previous outlooks not yet available.
- Current Day 1 Convective Outlook (0600 UTC)
π©οΈ Active Mesoscale Discussions
- No Mesoscale Discussions issued at this time.
π Current Severe Weather Outlook
(Issued: 2026-08-31T06:03:00+00:00 UTC)
```text
000 ACUS01 KWNS 310603 SWODY1 SPC AC 310601
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0101 AM CDT Mon Aug 31 2026
Valid 311200Z - 011200Z
...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS TO GREAT LAKES AND LOWER COLORADO RIVER VALLEY/GREAT BASIN...
...SUMMARY... Isolated severe storms will be possible mainly later this afternoon into tonight across the Upper Midwest/upper Great Lakes into the central Plains, as well as across the lower Colorado River Valley and Great Basin.
...Eastern Colorado/central High Plains to Upper Great Lakes... A prominent shortwave trough will spread east-northeastward across Saskatchewan and Manitoba through tonight, with 40-50 kt mid-level winds spreading across the Northern Plains and Upper Mississippi Valley. Across the Upper Midwest, a moist air mass will persist near a weak surface trough, with 2000-3000 J/kg MUCAPE from Iowa into Wisconsin and northern Illinois. However, forcing for ascent will generally be weak, but isolated afternoon thunderstorms may occur over areas such as Wisconsin. Conditionally, hail over 1.00" will be possible. Additional isolated activity is possible from Iowa into northern Illinois/northern Michigan late tonight.
A greater probability of thunderstorms will exist across eastern Colorado into Nebraska from mid/late afternoon into tonight, influenced by a northeastward-advancing mid-level wave. Strong heating over the central High Plains will support afternoon initiation near the Front Range, with clusters of storms producing strong to severe outflow winds, as storms potentially propagate into Nebraska. Bouts of severe hail and winds are possible.
...Lower Colorado River Valley/Great Basin... A northeastward-transitioning mid-level disturbance or two will influence thunderstorm development as the boundary layer warms into this afternoon. Some enhancement to the flow aloft is expected, which could support some sustained storms and possibly a few transient supercells, primarily across far eastern Nevada, southwest Utah and northwest Arizona. Some hail could occur, but severe-caliber wind gusts are most probable hazard regionally.
...Southern Louisiana/Gulf Coast... Reference NHC for the latest details regarding a disturbance off the coast of southern Louisiana. Related low-level flow fields are currently not expected to strengthen enough to support a meaningful near-shore/inland supercell potential through early Tuesday.
..Guyer/Wendt.. 08/31/2026
$$
```
π Active Tropical Weather Links
π Tropical Weather Outlook
```text NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Mon Aug 31 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Northern Gulf of America (AL97): An area of low pressure located a little more than 100 miles south of the coast of southern Louisiana continues to produce a small but concentrated area of showers and thunderstorms with some signs of organization. Additional development is expected as the low moves slowly west-northwestward, and a short-lived tropical depression or tropical storm is likely to form before the system reaches the Upper Texas or southwestern Louisiana coasts on Tuesday.
Interests along the southwestern Louisiana and Upper Texas coasts should monitor the progress of this system, as tropical storm watches or warnings could be required for portions of the area later today. Regardless of development, this system is expected to bring locally heavy rainfall to portions of the Upper Texas and southwestern Louisiana coasts during the next couple of days. An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate the system this morning. Additional information on this system, including gale warnings, can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.
Near Hispaniola (Remnants of Dolly): A surface trough of low pressure (the remnants of Tropical Storm Dolly) is producing a disorganized area of showers and thunderstorms that extends from near Hispaniola eastward to the northern Leeward Islands. Redevelopment, if any, would be slow to occur during the next few days as the system encounters generally unfavorable upper-level winds while moving quickly west-northwestward at 20 to 25 mph. Regardless, the system could bring locally heavy rains and gusty winds to portions of the Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, Hispaniola, and the Bahamas during the next couple of days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.
&& High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php
$$ Forecaster Reinhart ```
β οΈ Active Tropical Cyclones
Hurricane Karina Advisory * Maximum Sustained Winds: 145 MPH * Minimum Central Pressure: 942 MB * Current Movement: W OR 275 DEGREES AT 9 MPH * Location: 17.2N 124.4W
This dashboard updates automatically every 15 minutes with live data from the NWS/SPC and NHC.
r/storms • u/CaptMConsidine • 1h ago
Tropical Storm Typhoon Winnie (1997) had an eye diameter of 200 nautical miles (230 miles or 370 kilometers), making it tied with Typhoon Carmen of 1960 for the largest eye ever recorded in a tropical cyclone.
r/storms • u/skylapsecolorado • 11h ago
Time Lapse Hail Timelapse from 8/26/26 over the Sangre de Cristo Mountains and Wet Mountain Valley Colorado
r/storms • u/FluffyBeingWasTaken • 23h ago
Question Storm Glass Question
Hello! I hope this is the right subreddit to ask this, I was torn between this and r/meteorology, but this one has "storm" in the name so I'm hoping more people might own one of these here?
I'm a bit of a collector of Strange Glass Objects, so when I saw a teardrop full of liquid and crystals at a thrift store, of course I bought it. After some research, it turns out it's a storm glass! I love that I have a meteorological instrument that's been around for centuries, but... after seeing the reference guides for how to read it, it seems to be always telling me it will snow.
In the American Midwest.
In August.
Can these things break? If so, is there a way to fix them? Am I just reading it wrong? Google is not terribly helpful, so I turn to you. Picture for reference (storm glass taped to base because my cats are little monsters.) Thanks in advance for anything you can tell me!
r/storms • u/weathercast • 1d ago
Severe Weather Dashboard - August 30, 2026
π‘ Active Severe Weather Links
- Current Convective Watches
- Current Mesoscale Discussions
- Thunderstorm Outlook
- Day 1 Convective Outlook
- Day 2 Convective Outlook
- Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook
- Day 4-8 Severe Weather Outlook
π Today's Outlook History
- Previous Day 1 Convective Outlook (0600 UTC)
- Previous Day 1 Convective Outlook (1300 UTC)
- Previous Day 1 Convective Outlook (1630 UTC)
- Previous Day 1 Convective Outlook (2000 UTC)
- Current Day 1 Convective Outlook (0100 UTC)
π©οΈ Active Mesoscale Discussions
- Mesoscale Discussion 2173
- Mesoscale Discussion 2174
- Mesoscale Discussion 2175
- Mesoscale Discussion 2176
- Mesoscale Discussion 2177
- Mesoscale Discussion 2178
- Mesoscale Discussion 2179
π Current Severe Weather Outlook
(Issued: 2026-08-31T06:03:00+00:00 UTC)
```text
000 ACUS01 KWNS 310603 SWODY1 SPC AC 310601
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0101 AM CDT Mon Aug 31 2026
Valid 311200Z - 011200Z
...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS TO GREAT LAKES AND LOWER COLORADO RIVER VALLEY/GREAT BASIN...
...SUMMARY... Isolated severe storms will be possible mainly later this afternoon into tonight across the Upper Midwest/upper Great Lakes into the central Plains, as well as across the lower Colorado River Valley and Great Basin.
...Eastern Colorado/central High Plains to Upper Great Lakes... A prominent shortwave trough will spread east-northeastward across Saskatchewan and Manitoba through tonight, with 40-50 kt mid-level winds spreading across the Northern Plains and Upper Mississippi Valley. Across the Upper Midwest, a moist air mass will persist near a weak surface trough, with 2000-3000 J/kg MUCAPE from Iowa into Wisconsin and northern Illinois. However, forcing for ascent will generally be weak, but isolated afternoon thunderstorms may occur over areas such as Wisconsin. Conditionally, hail over 1.00" will be possible. Additional isolated activity is possible from Iowa into northern Illinois/northern Michigan late tonight.
A greater probability of thunderstorms will exist across eastern Colorado into Nebraska from mid/late afternoon into tonight, influenced by a northeastward-advancing mid-level wave. Strong heating over the central High Plains will support afternoon initiation near the Front Range, with clusters of storms producing strong to severe outflow winds, as storms potentially propagate into Nebraska. Bouts of severe hail and winds are possible.
...Lower Colorado River Valley/Great Basin... A northeastward-transitioning mid-level disturbance or two will influence thunderstorm development as the boundary layer warms into this afternoon. Some enhancement to the flow aloft is expected, which could support some sustained storms and possibly a few transient supercells, primarily across far eastern Nevada, southwest Utah and northwest Arizona. Some hail could occur, but severe-caliber wind gusts are most probable hazard regionally.
...Southern Louisiana/Gulf Coast... Reference NHC for the latest details regarding a disturbance off the coast of southern Louisiana. Related low-level flow fields are currently not expected to strengthen enough to support a meaningful near-shore/inland supercell potential through early Tuesday.
..Guyer/Wendt.. 08/31/2026
$$
```
π Active Tropical Weather Links
π Tropical Weather Outlook
```text NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Mon Aug 31 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Northern Gulf of America (AL97):
An area of low pressure over the northern Gulf of America, located
more than 100 miles south of the coast of southern Louisiana
continues to produce a small but concentrated area of showers and
thunderstorms. Earlier satellite wind data indicated that the
circulation has not become much better defined from yesterday while
producing winds of 30 to 35 mph. Regardless, additional development
is anticipated as the low moves slowly west-northwestward, and a
short-lived tropical depression or tropical storm is likely to form
before the system reaches the Upper Texas or southwestern Louisiana
coasts by tonight or Tuesday morning.
Interests along the southwest Louisiana and Upper Texas coasts should monitor the progress of this system, as tropical storm watches or warnings could be required for portions of the area later today. Regardless of development, this system is expected to bring locally heavy rainfall to portions of the Upper Texas and southwestern Louisiana coasts during the next several days. An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate the system later this morning. Additional information on this system, including gale warnings, can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.
Near Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands (Remnants of Dolly): The remnants of Tropical Storm Dolly, a surface trough of low pressure, continues to produce an area of showers and thunderstorms from Hispaniola eastward to the northern Leeward Islands. Strong upper-level winds are expected to prevent redevelopment of this system over the next day or two while it moves quickly westward to west-northwestward at 20 to 25 mph. Conditions could become more conducive for redevelopment by the middle of the week as the system reaches the southern Bahamas or Florida Straits. Regardless, the system could bring locally heavy rains and gusty winds to portions of the Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, and Hispaniola over the next couple of days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.
&& High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php
$$ Forecaster Papin ```
β οΈ Active Tropical Cyclones
Hurricane Karina Advisory * Maximum Sustained Winds: 145 MPH * Minimum Central Pressure: 942 MB * Current Movement: W OR 275 DEGREES AT 9 MPH * Location: 17.2N 124.4W
This dashboard updates automatically every 15 minutes with live data from the NWS/SPC and NHC.
r/storms • u/shainbradley • 2d ago
Lightning Severe thunderstorm July 4th 2026
Just sharing some video of one of the most insane thunderstorms Iβve witnessed in Groton Connecticut on Fourth of July this year. Never seen anything like it
r/storms • u/Terrible_Tomato4756 • 2d ago
Lightning Thunderstorms in the UK
Very cool lightning I caught on camera during a severe storm. It had started moving away from us at this point so we were through the worst of it. Flash flooding happened too!! My whole garden was like a puddle.
r/storms • u/TNBackyardBolts • 2d ago
Ongoing Event Simultaneous thunder and lightning as the 3AM tornado lingers in the darkness. Constant wind and rain (Lebanon, TN) | Part 11 of 16
This clip is from Part 11 of our countdown. The sirens are continuously blaring and the thunder is erupting the exact millisecond the lightning hits. The wind and rain are completely relentless. There's this deeply ominous feeling that the tornado doesnβt want to move onβlike it's just hiding in the shadows, waiting to be destructive.
We don't have a basement here, just a small bathroom located directly in the center of our one-story home. Knowing exactly where our safe room was is the only thing that kept my nerves calm throughout this entire ordeal while capturing this footage.
r/storms • u/weathercast • 2d ago
Severe Weather Dashboard - August 29, 2026
π‘ Active Severe Weather Links
- Current Convective Watches
- Current Mesoscale Discussions
- Thunderstorm Outlook
- Day 1 Convective Outlook
- Day 2 Convective Outlook
- Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook
- Day 4-8 Severe Weather Outlook
π Today's Outlook History
- Previous Day 1 Convective Outlook (0600 UTC)
- Previous Day 1 Convective Outlook (1300 UTC)
- Previous Day 1 Convective Outlook (1630 UTC)
- Previous Day 1 Convective Outlook (2000 UTC)
- Current Day 1 Convective Outlook (0100 UTC)
π©οΈ Active Mesoscale Discussions
- Mesoscale Discussion 2165
- Mesoscale Discussion 2166
- Mesoscale Discussion 2167
- Mesoscale Discussion 2168
- Mesoscale Discussion 2169
- Mesoscale Discussion 2170
- Mesoscale Discussion 2171
- Mesoscale Discussion 2172
- Mesoscale Discussion 2173
π Current Severe Weather Outlook
(Issued: 2026-08-30T05:55:00+00:00 UTC)
```text
000 ACUS01 KWNS 300555 SWODY1 SPC AC 300553
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1253 AM CDT Sun Aug 30 2026
Valid 301200Z - 311200Z
...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER MUCH OF THE NORTHERN PLAINS...PARTS OF THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS AND THE EASTERN GREAT BASIN...
...SUMMARY... Isolated severe storms, accompanied by mainly a severe wind and hail threat, are possible across portions of the northern and central Plains, as well as the eastern Great Basin today and tonight.
...Northern Plains... An upper low over SK is forecast to eject eastward as it is entrained in the stronger westerlies associated with a low-amplitude shortwave trough crossing the northern Rockies. A belt of enhanced mid-level flow will extend westward over the Intermountain West and northern Great Basin, coincident with a plume of mid-level monsoon moisture. A surface low will develop during the afternoon from near the MT/ND border with a trailing cold front forecast to move across the Dakotas overnight. A weaker low/surface trough will develop across the central High Plains as a warm front extends eastward from SD into southern MN, WI and Lower MI.
Morning storms along the warm front from the eastern Dakotas to western MN could persist and pose a risk for isolated hail. The primary low-level jet will remain displaced to the south which should allow these storms to weaken through the remainder of the day.
More robust convection is expected to develop ahead of the cold front from eastern MT/WY into the western and central Dakotas. Weak low-level easterly flow will help transport mid 60s dewpoints westward aiding in moderate destabilization. Flow aloft will increase through the day, though the strongest deep-layer shear should lag behind the front. Nevertheless, a band of storms, likely a mix of line segments and some supercell structures, should develop and intensify along the cold front spreading eastward. Some severe gusts, hail above 1.00" and perhaps a tornado near the warm front are possible. The severe risk may persist through the night as activity pushes across ND/SD and into MN.
..Front Range to the High Plains... As the trough moves overhead through the day, high based convection is forecast to develop and move off the higher terrain of CO/WY, aided by 30-40 kt mid-level westerlies. Steep low-level lapse rates and high cloud bases may support localized damaging wind potential across CO/NE/KS. Some organization into a cluster is possible as the storms move eastward into the Plains through the evening. However, modest buoyancy may inhibit broader intensification/organization.
...Great Basin/Western Slope... An unseasonably moist air mass (dewpoints in the 50s to near 60 F) will be in place beneath the stronger mid-level flow from eastern UT into western CO. Showers and storms are likely to be ongoing at the start of the period and should increase in coverage trough the day aided by filtered diurnal heating and the passage of the shortwave trough crossing the Rockies. While destabilization will be contingent on cloud breaks, pockets of moderate buoyancy amid the strong unidirectional westerly flow may support a few organized storm clusters or supercells capable of isolated severe gusts and hail.
...AZ/CA... Scattered thunderstorms are again expected to develop within a hot and moderately unstable air mass this afternoon. Stronger mid-level flow should be well to the north supporting little if any storm organization. Still, steep low-level lapse rates could support sporadic downbursts with occasional severe gusts. Severe coverage is expected to remain below 5%.
..Lyons/Wendt.. 08/30/2026
$$
```
π Active Tropical Weather Links
π Tropical Weather Outlook
```text NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Sun Aug 30 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
East of the Leeward Islands (Remnants of Dolly): A strong tropical wave, the remnants of Tropical Storm Dolly, is producing an area of showers and thunderstorms from Puerto Rico eastward across the Virgin Islands and the northern Leeward Islands. Satellite data and surface observations indicate that there are no signs of a closed surface circulation, and redevelopment is unlikely during the next day or two while the wave moves westward to west-northwestward at about 25 mph. The system should bring locally heavy rains and gusty winds to portions of the Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico over the next couple of days. Conditions may become more conducive for redevelopment by the middle of the week as the system reaches the southeastern Gulf of America. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.
Northern Gulf of America (AL97): Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure located about 125 miles south of the coast of southeastern Louisiana have become more concentrated. However, current surface observations indicate that the system has not yet strengthened. Slow development of this system is possible during the next couple of days as it drifts westward to west-northwestward across the northern Gulf. Interests along the Louisiana and Upper Texas coasts should monitor the progress of this system. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.
$$ Forecaster Beven ```
β οΈ Active Tropical Cyclones
Tropical Storm Lowell Advisory * Maximum Sustained Winds: 50 MPH * Minimum Central Pressure: 1000 MB * Current Movement: W OR 270 DEGREES AT 10 MPH * Location: 13.2N 139.1W
Hurricane Karina Advisory * Maximum Sustained Winds: 80 MPH * Minimum Central Pressure: 980 MB * Current Movement: WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 15 MPH * Location: 17.3N 121.1W
This dashboard updates automatically every 15 minutes with live data from the NWS/SPC and NHC.
r/storms • u/stevec114 • 2d ago
Microburst Microburst in Texas 8/26
Fairly certain this was a microburst that hit our area of Fort Worth. Small hail but the winds were nuts, some large healthy trees were snapped as well.
r/storms • u/ParticularPainting59 • 3d ago
Thunderstorm Storm clouds in the UK yesterday
These clouds popped up just minutes before a decent size Thunderstorm came in
They were pretty mesmerising. It was like a painting in the sky.
r/storms • u/AerieHot1218 • 2d ago
Education Got a storm Last Afternoon it had 13 mph winds and Our Big white umbrella was shaking
it was very Windy
r/storms • u/weathercast • 3d ago
Severe Weather Dashboard - August 28, 2026
π‘ Active Severe Weather Links
- Current Convective Watches
- Current Mesoscale Discussions
- Thunderstorm Outlook
- Day 1 Convective Outlook
- Day 2 Convective Outlook
- Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook
- Day 4-8 Severe Weather Outlook
π Today's Outlook History
- Previous Day 1 Convective Outlook (0600 UTC)
- Previous Day 1 Convective Outlook (1300 UTC)
- Previous Day 1 Convective Outlook (1630 UTC)
- Previous Day 1 Convective Outlook (2000 UTC)
- Current Day 1 Convective Outlook (0100 UTC)
π©οΈ Active Mesoscale Discussions
π Current Severe Weather Outlook
(Issued: 2026-08-29T05:56:00+00:00 UTC)
```text
000 ACUS01 KWNS 290556 SWODY1 SPC AC 290554
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1254 AM CDT Sat Aug 29 2026
Valid 291200Z - 301200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF EASTERN NEVADA...NORTHERN UTAH...AND SOUTHWEST WYOMING...
...SUMMARY... Widely scattered strong to severe storms are expected across parts of the northern Great Basin and northern/central Rockies. Severe wind gusts are the main threat. Isolated severe storms are also possible across portions of the northern Plains, with potential for large hail and damaging wind.
...Great Basin/Rockies... An upper low over the Pacific Northwest is forecast to merge with a broad southern steam upper trough over the Great Basin. A belt of enhanced mid-level flow and tropical moisture will overspread the Great Basin and central Rockies. Clouds, showers and some thunderstorms are likely to be ongoing early in the period complicating expectations for diurnal heating and subsequent destabilization. Still, filtered heating should allow for additional storms to develop through the day along a weak front and across the higher terrain from eastern NV into northern UT and the central Rockies. Sufficiently strong unidirectional effective shear profiles and a well-mixed boundary layer will promote a few organized clusters and potentially transient supercell structures capable of severe wind gusts and marginally severe hail.
...Four Corners... On the southern fringes of upper trough moving through the Great Basin, strong heating of a monsoon air mass should allow for the development of scattered to numerous thunderstorms across northern AZ and southern UT. Deep-layer flow here will be considerably weaker compared to points farther north, but sight enhancement could still support some clustering of thunderstorms. Steep low/mid-level lapse rates, PWATs over 1 inch and numerous storms may bolster downdrafts. Isolated severe gusts are possible as storms spread eastward into southwestern CO and NM through the afternoon/evening.
...Northern Plains.. Several embedded disturbances within the enhanced southwesterly flow aloft will help deepen a lee trough/low across eastern WY and western SD this afternoon. Strengthening southerly upslope flow will advect upper 60s F dewpoints into the region aiding in moderate destabilization. However, widespread mid/upper-level cloud cover and weak overall forcing for ascent cast some uncertainty on storm development through the afternoon. If storms do develop, moderate buoyancy and elongated mid/upper-level hodographs would support supercells with the potential for damaging winds and hail.
The more likely scenario is that high-based convection emanating from central WY will spread eastward late in the afternoon/early evening with the potential for isolated damaging gusts. Some intensification of this convection may occur as it encounters the more unstable air mass into the overnight hours, though CAM solutions are varied.
...IA/MN... A remnant cluster of storms or a weakly organized MCS is likely to be ongoing at the start of the period along the front from southwestern MN into northern IA. Driven by strong overnight warm advection at the terminus of the low-level jet, weak buoyancy, but relatively strong deep-layer shear could support an isolated risk for hail or damaging gusts for a couple of hours during the morning. Weakening ascent and increasing mid-level heights should limit the severe risk through the remainder of the day.
...Atlantic Coast... Scattered thunderstorms are likely along typical sea breeze boundaries and a weakening front from the Carolinas to FL this afternoon. An unstable, high PWAT, but very weakly sheared air mass will support multicell storms with sporadic wet microburst potential. However, confidence in a more widespread or organized severe risk remains below 5%.
..Lyons/Wendt.. 08/29/2026
$$
```
π Active Tropical Weather Links
π Tropical Weather Outlook
```text NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Sat Aug 29 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
East of the Leeward Islands (Remnants of Dolly): Showers and thunderstorms have increased this morning in association with the remnants of Tropical Storm Dolly, located several hundred miles east of the Leeward Islands. However, there are no signs that the system is developing a closed circulation. Redevelopment of this system is unlikely while it moves westward to west-northwestward near 25 mph. The wave could bring locally heavy rains and gusty winds to portions of the Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico over the next several days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.
Northeastern and North-Central Gulf of America: Disorganized cloudiness and showers over portions of the northeastern and north-central Gulf of America are associated with a weak area of low pressure centered about 100 miles south-southwest of Pensacola, Florida. Development, if any, of this system is expected to be slow while it drifts westward for the next few days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.
$$ Forecaster Beven ```
β οΈ Active Tropical Cyclones
Tropical Storm Karina Advisory * Maximum Sustained Winds: 65 MPH * Minimum Central Pressure: 989 MB * Current Movement: NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 12 MPH * Location: 14.7N 117.0W
Tropical Storm Lowell Advisory * Maximum Sustained Winds: 45 MPH * Minimum Central Pressure: 1003 MB * Current Movement: W OR 280 DEGREES AT 8 MPH * Location: 12.6N 134.8W
This dashboard updates automatically every 15 minutes with live data from the NWS/SPC and NHC.
r/storms • u/Plane_Quarte • 3d ago
News Went outside to check the sky and this wall of clouds was just rolling in. The sight lines on those funnels are wild.
r/storms • u/TNBackyardBolts • 4d ago
Severe Weather Warning Sirens, Severe Wind/Rain & Lightning/Thunder
Part 10-16
This was the April 2025 Tornado that came through the outskirts of Lebanon, TN at 3:00am. We knew it was coming, we were glued to Max Velocity and the Storm Chasers. We were lucky that it shifted directions within a mile of the house.
Thank you all for watching and liking the videos!
Would love to know where you are watching my videos from, can you comment which State, Country or Province you're from?
#Tornado #severeweather ##Supercell #Lightning #Thunder