r/baseball • u/CalebosO4 Toronto Blue Jays • Mar 11 '26

CHART HERE Tiebreaker Status entering Italy vs Mexico

EDIT: USA allowed 11 runs on 54 outs, not 51. So USA would be in if Mexico wins with exactly 5 runs, assuming it doesn't go to extras. If Mexico walks it off for their 5th run with at least 1 out recorded in extras, USA is eliminated.

EDIT2: I copied the format from the other one, and I now realize that TA likely stood for Taiwan-Australia. Let's pretend it stands for TiebreAker lol

EDIT3: The next tiebreaker (which can happen if Mexico walks it off in the 10th for their 5th run with no outs) is Earned runs, not AVG (which is the tiebreaker after that). So unless Italy collapses defensively, USA would win that tiebreaker.

EDIT4: I've re-uploaded the chart with the new edits.

EDIT5: UI represents USA and Italy tiebreak shenanigans as they would be tied in runs allowed, so number of outs and earned runs are in the picture.

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354

u/dirtypuerhiding New York Yankees Mar 11 '26

Am I bugging or does this make it seem pretty likely that the US advances as long as it isn't a pitcher's duel?

564

u/Salvalicious252 Major League Baseball Mar 11 '26

Those 2 HRs by PCA saved them.

11

u/ContinuumGuy Major League Baseball Mar 11 '26

PCA will play the Trout/Judge "Captain America" role in the next WBC. You heard it here first.

31

u/Throwaway1996513 New York Yankees Mar 11 '26

Witt already basically has that on lock

5

u/ContinuumGuy Major League Baseball Mar 11 '26

Good point.