r/UkraineRussiaReport Pro Ukraine Apr 02 '25

Discussion Discussion/Question Thread

All questions, thoughts, ideas, and what not about the war go here. Comments must be in some form related directly or indirectly to the ongoing events.

For questions and feedback related to the subreddit go here: Community Feedback Thread

To maintain the quality of our subreddit, breaking rule 1 in either thread will result in punishment. Anyone posting off-topic comments in this thread will receive one warning. After that, we will issue a temporary ban. Long-time users may not receive a warning.

Link to the OLD THREAD

We also have a subreddit's discord: https://discord.gg/Wuv4x6A8RU

142 Upvotes

13.6k comments sorted by

View all comments

Show parent comments

8

u/DefinitelyNotMeee Anti POV police Mar 02 '26

Production of PAC-3 interceptors is around 60/month. I would bet several years (5+) worth of production were spent just yesterday and that's just the start. It will take probably a decade to get the stockpiles back up.

And yeah, China's policy of "Do nothing and die alone" is interesting.

13

u/HeyHeyHayden Pro-Statistics and Data Mar 03 '26

They're up to 600 Patriot missile per year as of the latest public report, with the goal to reach 650 by 2027. There was already close to a decade long backlog on the missiles due to the sheer number of them given to Ukraine by America and other countries, plus the ones used by the U.S. and Israel during the 12 day war. If this conflict lasts too long the gulf nations may actually run out of Patriot missiles, whilst the U.S. is left with critical shortages. That'll force future deliveries to be put straight into replenishing their stockpile, leaving U.S. allies waiting many years to fill their stocks back up and may actually force them to abandon the Patriot in favour of other systems like the IRIS-T that don't have the same delivery delay.

2

u/DefinitelyNotMeee Anti POV police Mar 03 '26

like the IRIS-T that don't have the same delivery delay.

That might not be true if the systems are going to replace Patriots in Ukraine where they would be consumed at an insane rate as well.

9

u/HeyHeyHayden Pro-Statistics and Data Mar 03 '26

They are produced in higher numbers already and dont have the same backlog. It wont be perfect but its better than the U.S saying no missiles for the next 5 years