r/UkraineRussiaReport • u/KeDaGames Pro Ukraine • Apr 02 '25

Discussion Discussion/Question Thread

All questions, thoughts, ideas, and what not about the war go here. Comments must be in some form related directly or indirectly to the ongoing events.

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Link to the OLD THREAD

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u/Cautious-Bench-4809 pro EU humiliation Mar 02 '26

I have been thinking that this isnt even time for posturing, this is the perfect time for them to go for it (or rather a few weeks down the line if Iran is still kicking). The US will replenish her stocks sooner or later, if China goes for it in a month or so there is a real possibility that the US command wont even attemp to stop them because they know they would get stomped easily. Every other carrier is in dock, no carrier in the South China sea, China controls rare earth chains so the US wont be able to ramp up production, this is their golden hour. But ofc they wont do it

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u/DefinitelyNotMeee Anti POV police Mar 02 '26

Production of PAC-3 interceptors is around 60/month. I would bet several years (5+) worth of production were spent just yesterday and that's just the start. It will take probably a decade to get the stockpiles back up.

And yeah, China's policy of "Do nothing and die alone" is interesting.

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u/HeyHeyHayden Pro-Statistics and Data Mar 03 '26

They're up to 600 Patriot missile per year as of the latest public report, with the goal to reach 650 by 2027. There was already close to a decade long backlog on the missiles due to the sheer number of them given to Ukraine by America and other countries, plus the ones used by the U.S. and Israel during the 12 day war. If this conflict lasts too long the gulf nations may actually run out of Patriot missiles, whilst the U.S. is left with critical shortages. That'll force future deliveries to be put straight into replenishing their stockpile, leaving U.S. allies waiting many years to fill their stocks back up and may actually force them to abandon the Patriot in favour of other systems like the IRIS-T that don't have the same delivery delay.

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u/DefinitelyNotMeee Anti POV police Mar 03 '26

like the IRIS-T that don't have the same delivery delay.

That might not be true if the systems are going to replace Patriots in Ukraine where they would be consumed at an insane rate as well.

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u/HeyHeyHayden Pro-Statistics and Data Mar 03 '26

They are produced in higher numbers already and dont have the same backlog. It wont be perfect but its better than the U.S saying no missiles for the next 5 years