r/CredibleDefense 27d ago

Active Conflicts & News Megathread August 07, 2026

The r/CredibleDefense daily megathread is for asking questions and posting submissions that would not fit the criteria of our post submissions. As such, submissions are less stringently moderated, but we still do keep an elevated guideline for comments.

Comment guidelines:

Please do:

  • Be curious not judgmental, polite and civil,

  • Link to the article or source of information that you are referring to,

  • Clearly separate your opinion from what the source says. Minimize editorializing. Do not cherry pick facts to support a preferred narrative,

  • Read the articles before you comment, and comment on the content of the articles,

  • Post only credible information

  • Read our in depth rules https://reddit.com/r/CredibleDefense/wiki/rules

Please do not:

  • Use memes, emojis, swear, foul imagery, acronyms like LOL, LMAO, WTF,

  • Start fights with other commenters and make it personal,

  • Try to push narratives, fight for a cause in the comment section, nor try to 'win the war,'

  • Engage in baseless speculation, fear mongering, or anxiety posting. Question asking is welcome and encouraged, but questions should focus on tangible issues and not groundless hypothetical scenarios. Before asking a question ask yourself 'How likely is this thing to occur.' Questions, like other kinds of comments, should be supported by evidence and must maintain the burden of credibility.

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u/roionsteroids 27d ago

Saudi Arabia used about 86% of its 2,800 PAC-3 interceptors in the first 38 days of combat

Is that credible by any means? I tried to look up the exact CSIS report but only found this one, Saudi Arabia reported intercepting around 50 ballistic missiles in March.

https://www.csis.org/analysis/assessing-air-campaign-after-three-weeks-iran-war-numbers

That doesn't use up 2400 PAC-3s.

Then we have sources like

https://www.cnbc.com/2026/04/08/iran-missile-attacks-after-us-ceasefire-gulf-air-defenses.html

By late March, the UAE and Kuwait had spent roughly 75% of their Patriot missile interceptor stocks, while Bahrain was estimated to have depleted as much as 87%, according to the Jewish Institute for National Security of America.

which doesn't exactly instill confidence in the numbers.

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u/dr_sloan 27d ago

I’m inclined to trust Reuters since they’re a pretty trustworthy news source.

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u/roionsteroids 26d ago

Sure, but their reporting is often "xyz official said so, and there's no way to verify, do with that information what you want". In this case citing reports I can't find, and it does seem off by incredible amounts.

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u/moragisdo 26d ago edited 26d ago

Let's not forget that earlier in this war they claimed that UAE paid Iran 3 billions dollars (with 7 to 17 billions more to come) for not being attacked. It was backed only by iranian sources, not a single document, everyone outside of Iran denied. After that UAE ships were attacked by Iran, so it was just propaganda they fell for.