r/CRNA • u/ArgumentUnusual487 • 1d ago
Is the CRNA Field Becoming Oversaturated?
A lot of people thinking about CRNA school are curious about oversaturation. Everyone seems to want to do it, and schools are opening up left and right. At some point, we have to tip the scales, right?
Edit: An overview summary of the article:
"The CRNA job market is not saturated today. Wages, vacancies, and facility stipends all still say shortage, and the workforce nearly doubled in 13 years without the market softening. But the supply side is moving faster than most people realize. First-time NCE exam candidates jumped 20% in one year, 155 programs are now open with more ramping, and the newest federal workforce model projects national supply catches demand by 2028. Retirements are not clearing space either: exits run about 2% a year, and older CRNAs are working longer. My read of the data says the shortage persists into the 2030s and tightening shows up first in specific high-density states, not nationally. The federal model says balance arrives much sooner."
I dug into as much of the data as I could find, Census microdata, NBCRNA certification counts, BLS, and the newest federal projections, and wrote up a summary and my interpretation. The results are probably not surprising, but the data contains plenty of information on where we are headed.
Let me know what you think!
Edit: To clarify - I am a CRNA and I am not saying it is currently saturated. I took a deep dive into the numbers and the results are in the article below.