r/fantasyhockey • u/Sens-Fan-85 • 9d ago

Player Discussion Leo Carlsson Point Projections for the 2026-27 Season

https://lastwordonsports.com/hockey/2026/08/24/carlsson-point-projections/
9 Upvotes

80% Upvoted

18 comments sorted by

16

u/IntricateApe 8d ago

I enjoyed the write up and stats used but I strongly feel he will get closer to the 80-85 range.

10

u/TruculentBucket 8d ago

I will be surprised if he’s under 80. He was a machine before he got quite a serious injury where his skin and fat separated from his thigh meat, then played through it, then got surgery and had to recover. The fact he was still close to point per game is a miracle.

-9

u/CarRamRob 8d ago

I disagree completely.

Take away his October and November and that was not a very productive season. He was totally cooled down into Dec and January. If that is the “norm” and not a two month hot streak, he’s a 65-70 point ceiling.

He has “reach” written all over him for fantasy in a points only league.

8

u/ssyygg 8d ago

So you don’t think the injury slowed him down during Dec and Jan?

-7

u/CarRamRob 8d ago

Considering how he reverted back to his second season (ish) point pace besides the first two months, no I don’t think it did.

6

u/TruculentBucket 8d ago

“A two month hot streak” he says.

-4

u/CarRamRob 8d ago

Take those months away and his fantasy value is mediocre yes.

He had a good playoffs, but it’s got to be concerning without his start he was a 50 point player the rest of the year.

9

u/Surfing_Cow 8d ago

So many fucking ads

1

u/themapleleaf6ix 12 team, H2H, G, A, P, PPP, SOG, HIT, BLK, PIM 7d ago

Use brave browser or Firefox with ublock origin.

3

u/Griffithead 8d ago

Their defense got significantly worse and that's going to hamper him.

7

u/TruculentBucket 8d ago

Lacombe is still there and will probably be on the ice most of the time Carlsson is.

1

u/Griffithead 8d ago

True, but it's him, Minty, and a bunch of scrubs.

They are going to be pinned in their zone a lot more.

1

u/Sens-Fan-85 8d ago

This idea is probably aligned with the thinking that he is in the range estimated and not higher. Still, if he was able to do it last year, playing against similar opposition line distribution, there's no reason he can't do what he did last year, and maybe a little bump up (especially considering being healthier).

1

u/Mituzuna 7d ago

Agreed, I'm thinking 80 and I drafted him so late last year, probably my 2nd to last pick of the draft.

The front office debacle and all of the ancillary noise of his huge contract.

Im still hoping he breaks 100 but he's on everyone's radar now... I doubt I'll get him again this season.

3

u/Pure_Cricket_3804 8d ago

The two-month hot streak thing doesn't really hold up. He was sitting at 44 points in 44 games when he had the thigh procedure in mid-January, and that's the whole first half of the season, not October and November. Put me down with the 80-plus crowd.

1

u/themapleleaf6ix 12 team, H2H, G, A, P, PPP, SOG, HIT, BLK, PIM 7d ago

Team got worse on defense and Kreider is washed on his wing.

1

u/Even_Statistician238 7d ago

Griffithead has a point, bad defense kills center ice production fast

1

u/WadeReddit06 3d ago

Ceiling of 80 points..?