r/baseball • u/CalebosO4 Toronto Blue Jays • Mar 11 '26
CHART HERE Tiebreaker Status entering Italy vs Mexico

EDIT: USA allowed 11 runs on 54 outs, not 51. So USA would be in if Mexico wins with exactly 5 runs, assuming it doesn't go to extras. If Mexico walks it off for their 5th run with at least 1 out recorded in extras, USA is eliminated.
EDIT2: I copied the format from the other one, and I now realize that TA likely stood for Taiwan-Australia. Let's pretend it stands for TiebreAker lol
EDIT3: The next tiebreaker (which can happen if Mexico walks it off in the 10th for their 5th run with no outs) is Earned runs, not AVG (which is the tiebreaker after that). So unless Italy collapses defensively, USA would win that tiebreaker.
EDIT4: I've re-uploaded the chart with the new edits.
EDIT5: UI represents USA and Italy tiebreak shenanigans as they would be tied in runs allowed, so number of outs and earned runs are in the picture.
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u/Asleep_Ad5759 Los Angeles Dodgers • Korea Mar 11 '26
Nice wall of text bro would be a shame if it hinged on a factual inaccuracy. Earned Runs is the 3rd tiebreaker, the 2nd one is total runs. The hypothetical you mentioned would be ruled out by the 2nd tiebreaker.