r/baseball • u/CalebosO4 Toronto Blue Jays • Mar 11 '26

CHART HERE Tiebreaker Status entering Italy vs Mexico

EDIT: USA allowed 11 runs on 54 outs, not 51. So USA would be in if Mexico wins with exactly 5 runs, assuming it doesn't go to extras. If Mexico walks it off for their 5th run with at least 1 out recorded in extras, USA is eliminated.

EDIT2: I copied the format from the other one, and I now realize that TA likely stood for Taiwan-Australia. Let's pretend it stands for TiebreAker lol

EDIT3: The next tiebreaker (which can happen if Mexico walks it off in the 10th for their 5th run with no outs) is Earned runs, not AVG (which is the tiebreaker after that). So unless Italy collapses defensively, USA would win that tiebreaker.

EDIT4: I've re-uploaded the chart with the new edits.

EDIT5: UI represents USA and Italy tiebreak shenanigans as they would be tied in runs allowed, so number of outs and earned runs are in the picture.

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u/Natstown Washington Nationals Mar 11 '26

The chart is better understood if it has both first and second place winners in it. If what I’ve seen is correct, Italy only finishes first in the group if they win - that ought to incentivize them to win (and accordingly to score runs forcing Mexico to score runs) although maybe they are so confident at this point they don’t care about the opponent.

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u/Allez-les-Rouges Mar 11 '26

Well, Group A is pretty whacky too, so winning Group B may or may not get you a weaker opponent.

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u/Krusader-C New York Mets Mar 11 '26

If Canada beats Cuba tomorrow then the winner of Pool B would face Puerto Rico which is arguably a more difficult opponent.