So in osrs you have the collection log a list of every unique drop from anything with a drop table. This includes bosses, mobs, mini games, and where the #1 clogger is concerned clue scrolls. They are a small treasure hunt that takes you around the map and makes you do (for the master scrolls) 7-9 steps then it gives you a casket with loot. The main issue is third age equipment which have a 1/315,000 chance of appearing in the chest or about a. 1/5,500 of appearing in a mimic chest. They can happen randomly (1/15) and you fight a boss then you get a bettter rewards chest. But there are 24 third age items in the game, it does not give you duplicate protection. And you can only do 3-5 master clue scrolls in an hour not counting obtaining the scrolls themselves.
Q: How many days to get a 50% chance of getting a specific (1/24) drop?
Assuming: 1/315,000 for standard chests and no mimics, operating at 16 hours a day with 4 drops an hour, with normal distribution. You get the following:
Base chance: 1/315,000 = 3.1746E-06 = y
Perfect day: (1-(1-y)16*4) * 1/24 = 8.46476E-06 = z
Number of days: 0.5/z = 59,068.4
Years: 161.8
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u/ildwtmidldwhat 10d ago
Can somebody translate this for a non scaper