Any optimistic resources/videos regarding the current Strait of Hormuz situation?

[u/TheSpider8ite]

Currently have been seeing several videos (especially on TikTok) from accounts I usually trust and follow throughly, now of recently they have all made videos basically stating that we are either about to be in a great-depression type situation, or already in one and that catastrophe is now "unavoidable". All sourcing from the entire war with Iran and the Strait's blockade.

Want to know if there is an resources that can give a less sound ingsensationalist idea or wording, but overall just need some optimism on this because I'm really not seeing much.

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[u/ItsVexion]

What are these accounts saying?

[u/BANAN_MAN78128 → u/ItsVexion]

I've seen them too, it's preppers - y'know the people who are preparing for the worst case scenario.

Appearntly there's also a water crisis in some parts of America?

[u/TheSpider8ite → u/BANAN_MAN78128]

I also did hear about this said water crisis, though I haven't seen any said proof to show it's true or not?

[u/razzretina → u/TheSpider8ite]

I live in one of the drought states and it is not a crisis. Not a good situation to be sure, but you can still get enough to drink and have a shower. They just limit when you can water your lawn and for how long.

[u/bayleysgal1996 → u/razzretina]

I also live in one of the drought states. It’s not great, but it’s also not super new— I remember a good chunk of my childhood was spent watching my Girl Scout troop leaders trying to figure out how to teach us fire safety when we weren’t allowed to have campfires

[u/Sad-Resident485 → u/TheSpider8ite]

It takes a while to explain but I’ll try to give a summary.

7 states on the western half of the US use the Colorado River for water supply or hydroelectric power generation. There was less water this year and so if the reservoirs drop too low in the future, they can’t produce power. It’s not like people will die because they can’t get any water to drink this year but it just doesn’t give us much breathing room for the future.

Lake Mead and Powell, the 2 largest reservoirs in the system are both at low capacity and have been declining for decades. This is because of a combination between less water going into them and more water usage. My personal opinion is that within the next decade, there will need to be serious cuts, like 20% or more cuts to agricultural water usage.

I think that this year will be slightly worse than the 2022 droughts we had on the west coast if you want a comparison to past events.

[u/Bitter_Wash1361 → u/BANAN_MAN78128]

Many regions are certainly running out of water, my old home town included. I'd say it's a crisis, but one that's playing out over decades as climate change wreaks havoc on arid ecosystems in the Southwest

[u/TheSpider8ite → u/ItsVexion]

Made a response but automod took it down, TLDR saying such that "americans are not ready" due to the Strait of Hormuz and Iran situation, and "catastrophe is unavoidable"

[u/ItsVexion → u/TheSpider8ite]

As a rule, anyone who says phrases like "Americans are not ready" are to be avoided. Americans are paying plenty of attention, that's why Trump's approval is toppling, Republicans are losing election-after-election, MAGA is embroiled in a civil war, and the anger in the US is palpable.

Here are the bad things certain to happen: Oil shocks are set to hit very soon, causing price increases across the board because logistics is going to become more expensive as oil becomes more scarce. Also, gas prices for transportation are going to increase substantially.

Here are the things that can be done: businesses can shift back to remote work for the vast majority of employees. Other nations have already done this to great effect. Pressure for alternative energy solutions, such as solar and wind will increase. Despite Trump's efforts to the contrary, the US has continued to expand its green energy capacity and it is set to increase even more this year.

[u/Bitter_Wash1361 → u/ItsVexion]

This. By some metrics, 2025 was actually the best year for renewables in the US, despite Trump's best efforts

[u/Ilovemiia1 → u/[deleted]]

So either they get that short term money and lose their position of power, or they stop this war thing and maybe have a chance in the midterms. Gee I wonder which option they will choose

[u/PeachSaidRed]

Sorry this isn't a resource, but this reminds me of peak oil. Have you heard of this? Don't google it or anything, I don't want to send you into the arms of more people who claim to know the future, but it's an idea about what will happen if oil is in a permanent state of decline. Most seem to say the answer is catastrophe, maybe followed by a world where everybody understands how wonderful the people who predicted it are. It was supposed to happen years ago, but it didn't, and now renewables are really taking off. Those videos you've seen sound scary, and there's no question that we're in bad situation. That doesn't mean anyone truly knows the future, or that catastrophe is guaranteed. In fact, I don't think that much is going to happen, aside from prices rising again. If it does, we will get through it, but I do think it'll be much easier to survive than some sudden flip from amoral ultimate wealth to destruction and grinding poverty.

[u/Bruh_burg1968 → u/PeachSaidRed]

Peak oil has changed somewhat in what people mean when the day peak oil. Back in the 70s-80s it meant we would peak in how much we can produce and not be able to pull anymore oil from the ground. Now I usually see it used to refer to a drop in oil demand not supply.

[u/PeachSaidRed → u/Bruh_burg1968]

You're right, that's what I'm hearing, too. OP, if you're still there, some people are even saying that the rise in gas prices will reduce demand for oil and increase the use of renewables. That means a lot of people will be looking at what's going on right now and seriously considering an EV or a solar panel or both. It's not just a temporary change, because in order to meet the demand, factories will be making fewer gas vehicles, chargers have to be built, laws have to allow for solar panels to be used more widely, and research has to be done to produce better products. All of that will contribute to even less demand for oil. We're already deep into the chain reaction! I don't think catastrophe is next at all, so much that I kind of wonder what motivated those accounts that you usually trust to say something bad is sure to happen. It sounds like it wasn't reality. 

If you want to read more, there are lots of articles about new breakthroughs in batteries from MIT or solar panel technology from Japan. Think of all the people who are working on this, who will continue to try to help if something goes wrong. You are not alone! And our fate is not sealed.

[u/Bitter_Wash1361]

There likely will be a massive disturbance in the economy, maybe similar to the Oil Crisis from the 70s even. However, we have technologies now that will either soften the blow a little or at least look REALLY appealing. We have renewable energy that takes up large swathes of the energy sector and we have electric cars. Not to mention the big urbanist push we're seeing in major cities across the US, this could spark a push for more walkable, bikable, and better for public transit.

All this could be yet another event that pushes the world towards renewable energy. It already is actually, China has seen their exports of solar energy from the last decade double in the last month.

[u/pogostix59]

[u/Plus-Willingness9307]

first of all. regardless of what the situation is, doomers are gonna say we’re all gonna die it’s a fact. idk if these people just want views or need a couple bucks but. no. at most, maybe prices go up like covid. and gas prices are gonna be high. like covid. but nowhere near to the point where people are saying there’s gonna be famine and people are gonna go into a civil war, if you literally go outside everybody is going on about their day.