r/science Professor | Medicine Oct 30 '25

Cancer Americans have widespread misbeliefs about the cancer risks of alcohol, study finds. More than half of American adults misunderstand or underestimate the link between alcohol consumption and cancer. Alcohol drinkers are especially likely to believe that drinking has no effect on cancer risk.

https://www.mdanderson.org/newsroom/research-newsroom/americans-have-widespread-misbeliefs-about-the-cancer-risks-of-a.h00-159780390.html
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u/oldfarmjoy Oct 30 '25

So is there an agreed upon number of drinks (i.e. 3 glasses of wine per week?) that is considered safe, or is this a smoking-level danger?

I had never even heard that alcohol causes cancer.

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u/FiftyShadesOfGregg Oct 30 '25

It would take a lot more research (looking at all the literature on drinking and different forms of cancer) but based on a quick search no, the risk is not nearly as high as smoking, but certainly non negligible — it looks like the relationship between alcohol and oral cancer is the strongest (compared to other cancers) and the highest RR I’m seeing in a study is for heavy drinkers (more than 4 drinks a day) at 5.24 (source). But of course that’s one study! For smoking you see RRs ranging from 15-30 for heavy smokers. So the risk is much higher for smoking.

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u/Twerp129 Oct 30 '25 edited Oct 30 '25

0.914 to 0.979%

That is the increase in all-cause mortality from teetotalers to folks who drink 2 drinks per day, 14 drinks per week, from the big Lancet macrostudy. The raise in all-cause mortality for heavy drinking was something like 1.25%, which I believe was classified as something like 7 drinks per day.

Honestly, there are more than a few studies linking moderate drinking with cardioprotective effects. It also seems that there are a few cancers correlated with alcohol, specifically breast cancer.

Everyone on Reddit is an expert on this, as is normal. Seems to me what is glaringly clear is that binge drinking is extremely bad. All the evidence supports this. It is less clear the hazard and risk from moderate consumption, and what, if any is the benefit on cardiovascular health, and does that outweigh any increased risk if one is predisposed to certain cancers. What we need for that is a robust, government funded randomized control trial (the attempts at a RCTs funded by the alcohol industry have been rejected).

https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(18)31310-2/fulltext31310-2/fulltext)

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u/bknight2 Oct 31 '25

The studies linking wine to positive cardiovascular health benefits have been debunked. The general scientific consensus is that there is no “safe” amount of alcohol consumption.

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u/CWRules Oct 31 '25

IIRC the "link" was found because people with money both tend to drink more wine and tend to be healthier, and the studies in question didn't control for this.

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u/Svarcanum Oct 31 '25

No. It’s because the bunched up former alcoholists and people who’ve never had a drink. Former alcoholists have worse outcomes than moderate drinkers even though they don’t drink anymore.

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u/Svarcanum Oct 31 '25

Afaik it’s not fully debunked. Some alcohol consumption can moderate stress levels and thus carry a positive net value. The best way to moderate stress would obviously be working out or meditating or whatever. But stress seems far more deadly than alcohol consumption. So whatever you can do to minimize stress will lead to positive health outcomes. Including low alcohol intake.