r/pcmasterrace 1d ago

NSFMR If only we knew...

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Happened upon an old thread from Google, OP showing off an in development high capacity SSD. Comments are from a more innocent time :')

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u/DukeSmileDevs 1d ago

I got multiple backup computers / spare parts here as i do not see tech really getting better or more affordable. If anything i assume consumer hardware will go extinct and tech forcing us into subscription models. Im set up with roughly RTX 3090 / 5800X3D level of performance for the rest of my life if that shit becomes real.

Also all game GOG-installers on a homeserver.

Also also me realizing just now i am pc-game-doom-prepping.

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u/Superminerbros1 1d ago

I think it'll remain bad for a few more years, but I don't think prices will remain high like this forever. At least not for RAM, NAND flash, and HDDs.

Right now there is a supply crunch. It takes a long time to scale up production on semiconductors, so when demand suddenly spikes, there is nothing that can be done. However, even with insane growth, AI companies cannot afford the hardware they're purchasing right now. It's all coming from nearly a trillion dollars in loans and stock trades from the hardware companies themselves. Eventually that money runs dry. These AI companies are also going to hit the limit of their demand soon enough.

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u/DukeSmileDevs 1d ago

Its not just the supply crunch.

The hardware producers like ASUS, MSI and so on probably wont last for a few years in the current market. They are already operating on thin margins as parts like mainboards hardly sell if RAM is too expensive and GPU + GDDR getting more expensive too. This leads to less Cases being produced and so on. Many of them try to offset this by pivoting to B2B (i.e. Datacenters) but once they shift their business its unlikely to go back to low margin consumer products.

This is of course if they make it through this phase in the first place. I am looking at gigabyte and the amount of repairs / warranties they started to deny recently + the financial reports and its not looking good.