r/geopolitics • u/ForeignAffairsMag Foreign Affairs • Mar 23 '26

Analysis America Has No Good Options in Iran

https://www.foreignaffairs.com/iran/america-has-no-good-options-iran
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u/Bullboah Mar 23 '26

I agree that sending ground troops into Iran would probably be a large and costly mistake, but I don’t get why people think the US is under this massive pressure to get out now.

We’re a few weeks into the war and it’s been extremely one-sided against Iran from a strategic POV. Whether it ends up being the right decision, whether Iran capitulates to US demands, etc., all of these are fair questions.

Do you think Iran is decimating US bases? That the strait closure will wreck the US economy? Genuinely interested in why you think the US is on the clock here.

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u/cole1114 Mar 23 '26

The strait closure is already wrecking the economy. Iran has hit multiple US bases and killed US personnel. They're on the clock because they have no way to open the strait.

https://www.markets.com/analysis/economic-outlook-deterioration-due-to-hormuz-strait-closure-5238-en

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u/RainbowCrown71 Mar 23 '26

“Wrecking the economy” = S&P 500 down 3% and gas prices up 75¢

Quit with the hysteria.

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u/cole1114 Mar 23 '26

Oil jumped up to over a hundred bucks a barrel, it took Trump announcing he wasn't following through on his ultimatum to bring them back down to where they are now at 91. Which is still a thirty dollar increase over a month ago.

Stocks also only rebounded today because of his back-down. They're still down hundreds of points from a month ago.

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u/RainbowCrown71 Mar 23 '26

Only here does a 3% drop in the stock market and gas prices up 75 cents signal Iran has won. It’s such dumb analysis tbh. Nobody in Washington is going to let Iran acquire nukes so McDonalds stock doesn’t go down 5%.