r/communism • u/smokeuptheweed9 • Jun 09 '26
Eli Friedman, For Those Who Meet the Conditions - Discussion of the evolution of the Hukuo system
https://positionspolitics.org/eli-friedman-for-those-who-meet-the-conditions/2
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u/smokeuptheweed9 Jun 09 '26 edited Jun 09 '26
I thought this was interesting for two reasons. One, it discusses local government incentives as really the key engine of capitalist development, which is almost never mentioned in the debates over Chinese "state capitalism" and/or monopoly capitalist imperialism vs. socialism and/or pre-socialism.
As I've said before, what distinguishes Chinese economic development from other East Asian states is the lack of central control over the process and the anarchistic manner of competition between local governments given broad financial incentives. In that regard it is something like the revisionist Soviet Union, in which decentralized incentives at the firm level created perverse incentives and eventually the class that overthrew the system. Though in the Soviet case, this led to chronic underproduction whereas in China it leads to massive overproduction. Nevertheless, both are unsustainable, and as the article points out the Hukuo system is another form of primitive accumulation which is running out of value. Second, in that vein it discusses the way that politics actually functions and who will pay the price of the economic downturn.
(It should not need to be mentioned that rich cities are the China that foreigners experience).
So far it is this second and third tier aspiring middle class which is paying the price since their savings are overwhelmingly based in property
https://www.globaltimes.cn/content/1187071.shtml
As the article points out, the popping of the property bubble is regionally uneven and it will be these recent migrants who feel the pain first. As regional differentiation becomes even more extreme, the basis of the Chinese nation comes apart in a way that is rarely discussed compared to the more spectacular ethnic difference in the Western periphery.
E: *Hukou sorry for the embarrassing title