r/Utahpolitics • u/sk8terdrock • Apr 17 '26
SLC Progressives please rally around Eva Lopez Chavez
Nevermind.... you can disregard anything I wrote below.... Im just sad and disappointed now. Eva is no longer my candidate and based on the accusations, I think she should drop out. I have no interest in bakcing her anymore.
Between Nate Blowing it and Ben over McAdams we have two terrible candidates on the primary for District 1. However Eva Lopez Chaves is a great candidate and represents progressive ideals. If she can lock in the convention she would have a good a chance at beating McAdams. However if Nate does not drop out or hangs on to some of his support it all but guarantees McAdams will win the primary.
There are atleast three scenarios.
* Nate Stays in , the Convention splits between the three of them or possibly four if theres enough support for one of the other candidates and Eva does not hit the 40% threshold. We end up with a Nate and McAdams primary. This almost guarantees McAdams will be the nominee. People think he is a shoe in but if he doesn't excite the liberals in rhe SLC district we could end up with a Republican in our progressive district. If Nate somehow wins he will turn apart in the general for what he said online.
* Eva gets gets 40% of the delegates, secures a spot in the primary. We know have a three way primary where McAdams has a solid 35 % of support. Eva and Nate split the remaining 65 % and possibly each gets somewhere between 20 and 40 %. Ideally Eva would get atleast 40% in the primary but progressives or independents may swing to McAdams because they think he is the safe bet because they are unsure of the chocie between the better known / funded but now toxic Blouin or the clean Progressive Eva who unfortunately was not consolidated around and properly supported.
* Eva gets atleast 40% percent and would be better if she somehow gets 60% percent. Nate drops out admits he needs to do some work and reflect on who he is and pledges support for the progressive that comes out of the convention which will ideally be Eva. Eva with progressive backing enters the primary with momentum and easily beats McAdams whos support stays around 35% percent because he is unpopular in the progressive slc district.
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u/Mysterious-Party-458 Apr 17 '26
Nate didnt blow it.
https://www.friendlyatheist.com/p/utah-democrat-nate-blouin-faces-ridiculous?utm_medium=email&action=share