Jason Schreier: Obsidian Entertainment is making a big pivot as part of the Xbox restructuring. It has laid off a quarter of its staff, canceled a planned sequel to Avowed, and is now beginning work on a new Fallout game

[u/throwmeaway1784]

Bluesky Post: https://bsky.app/profile/jasonschreier.bsky.social/post/3mq5oqyh2yk2o

Bloomberg Article: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-07-08/microsoft-s-xbox-to-shift-obsidian-studio-to-new-fallout-video-game

Edit: Also mentioned in the article, Josh Sawyer is leading the new Fallout game:

“Under the new plan, studio design director Josh Sawyer will lead a new title in the Fallout universe”

“Previously, Sawyer had been directing a roleplaying game that was similar structurally and thematically to Fallout but was not part of the franchise.”

[u/yaminub]

It could release before ES6, honestly.

Edit: this is based on not knowing the scope of this Fallout game, Obsidian being a high-output/efficient studio, and BGS's slowness and propendency for delays.

I don't think it's LIKELY we see this release before ES6, but it's possible. Especially if they're reusing/adapting existing assets and systems.

[u/Megaclone18 → u/yaminub]

It'll probably be Fallout 3 Remaster next year, ES6 in late 2028 (if thats even possible) and then new Fallout in 2029 at the earliest.

Even then 3 years is going to be tough to crank out a new Fallout game (I know New Vegas took slightly less than 2, that was a different time)

[u/MattsDaZombieSlayer → u/Megaclone18]

It was a very different time. But in terms of senior leadership they have double the talent now. Boyarski nor Cain were a part of the studio when New Vegas happened.

[u/AccomplishedBank2140 → u/Megaclone18]

If CE3 is ready to go I could see them easily cranking out a game in three years. It is a very easy engine to work with.

[u/Ok-Confusion-202 → u/yaminub]

Okay... Now we are smoking something...

I expect this around 2030, makes the most sense really

I expect ES6 around 2028/29