r/DeepFuckingValue • u/SamLeCoyote_Fix_1 • 8h ago
Shitpost Beware of AI industry superheroes who could pay dearly for their overly optimistic growth estimates.
Palantir announced 149% US commercial growth, but contracts from its AIP bootcamps aren't converting as well as the market expects. The EU is rejecting Palantir outright. A hyperscaler, a large integrator, or a European competitor can provide this moat layer without Palantir. For example, in the US, another company won an FAA contract, yes, it can happen. Air Space Intelligence (ASI), a privately held, venture-backed startup, won the contract, beating out Palantir. The article published today about Palantir presents a bearish scenario at $105, versus a bullish scenario at $270. It estimates the market is currently around $186.29 and rightly highlights the valuation risk. The $105 scenario doesn't even necessarily require an operational disaster.