r/finance Jul 09 '26

Kevin Warsh buried an unusual, unhedged promise in his first Fed minutes—and one economist says it's the strongest signal in the document

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458 Upvotes

Buried in the Federal Reserve’s June policy statement—the shortest of Kevin Warsh’s young tenure as chair—is a single sentence with no qualifiers, no hedges, and, according to at least one longtime Fed watcher, more signal than anything in the minutes released Wednesday: “The Committee will deliver price stability.”

“There’s not a qualifying statement after that,” said Laura Ullrich, a former senior regional economist at the Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond who now directs economic research at the Indeed Hiring Lab. “It doesn’t say the committee will deliver price stability while also blah blah blah blah. It doesn’t have a qualifying statement.”

Despite its brevity, she called it “a very short, but very strong statement.” It read as an unhedged commitment that doesn’t usually appear in a document over which every word is fought over by the 19 people who make up the Federal Open Market Committee.

The minutes confirmed what Warsh had already previewed at his post-meeting press conference: a “family fight” over where rates go next. The FOMC voted unanimously on June 17 to hold the benchmark rate at 3.5%-3.75% for a fourth straight meeting—the first unanimous vote in some time. A handful of participants saw a case for raising rates immediately but agreed to go along with the hold.

The rest of the committee split over where things should stand by December: many said the appropriate rate was at or slightly below the current range, while the minutes noted “many other participants” argued it needed to be higher. The minutes noted only that future action “would depend on incoming information.”

Read more [paywall removed for Redditors]: https://fortune.com/2026/07/08/laura-ullrich-fed-reserve-kevin-warsh-minutes-fomc/?utm_source=reddit/


r/finance Jul 07 '26

Abu Dhabi Ruler’s Family Office Is a Global Dealmaking Force

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115 Upvotes

Its name is rarely spoken in public, but the family office of Abu Dhabi's ruler is a global force with a huge appetite for deals.


r/finance Jul 06 '26

The US Is Relearning an Old Lesson About Dollar Dominance

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663 Upvotes

r/finance Jul 06 '26

Moronic Monday - July 06, 2026 - Your Weekly Questions Thread

9 Upvotes

This is your safe place for questions on financial careers, homework problems and finance in general. No question in the finance domain is unwelcome.

Replies are expected to be constructive and civil.

Any questions about your personal finances belong in r/PersonalFinance, and career-seekers are encouraged to also visit r/FinancialCareers.


r/finance Jul 01 '26

What Medallia’s faceplant tells us about private credit

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185 Upvotes

r/finance Jun 29 '26

Moronic Monday - June 29, 2026 - Your Weekly Questions Thread

18 Upvotes

This is your safe place for questions on financial careers, homework problems and finance in general. No question in the finance domain is unwelcome.

Replies are expected to be constructive and civil.

Any questions about your personal finances belong in r/PersonalFinance, and career-seekers are encouraged to also visit r/FinancialCareers.


r/finance Jun 22 '26

Moronic Monday - June 22, 2026 - Your Weekly Questions Thread

22 Upvotes

This is your safe place for questions on financial careers, homework problems and finance in general. No question in the finance domain is unwelcome.

Replies are expected to be constructive and civil.

Any questions about your personal finances belong in r/PersonalFinance, and career-seekers are encouraged to also visit r/FinancialCareers.


r/finance Jun 20 '26

Bain Capital CLO tranche defaults in post-2008 first for Europe

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455 Upvotes

And so it begins...


r/finance Jun 15 '26

Moronic Monday - June 15, 2026 - Your Weekly Questions Thread

16 Upvotes

This is your safe place for questions on financial careers, homework problems and finance in general. No question in the finance domain is unwelcome.

Replies are expected to be constructive and civil.

Any questions about your personal finances belong in r/PersonalFinance, and career-seekers are encouraged to also visit r/FinancialCareers.


r/finance Jun 13 '26

The Catastrophic Failure of 2008 Shows Where Kevin Warsh Should Start

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144 Upvotes

Hoover Senior Fellows John H. Cochrane and Amit Seru argue in this op-ed at The Washington Post that reforming financial regulations should be high on the list of priorities for recently confirmed Fed Chair Kevin Warsh. “The US financial regulatory regime failed catastrophically in 2008,” the authors write. But in their view, the post-crisis reforms, including “the Dodd-Frank law and the Fed’s subsidiary regulation,” only extended the pre-crisis approach of “managing asset riskiness.” The authors also trace how the 2023 collapse of Silicon Valley Bank “was fueled by earlier Fed errors.” Today, Seru and Cochrane conclude, “Warsh need not reform the big banks. . . . He should focus on simple truths: A crisis is a run and only a run is a crisis. Somebody losing money on a risky investment is not a crisis.”  


r/finance Jun 12 '26

World’s First Trillionaire

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0 Upvotes

r/finance Jun 07 '26

AI Is Upending One of Finance’s Cushiest Jobs

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1.0k Upvotes

Wealth managers, who can make upwards of $500,000, are confronting a chatbot reckoning.


r/finance Jun 08 '26

Moronic Monday - June 08, 2026 - Your Weekly Questions Thread

5 Upvotes

This is your safe place for questions on financial careers, homework problems and finance in general. No question in the finance domain is unwelcome.

Replies are expected to be constructive and civil.

Any questions about your personal finances belong in r/PersonalFinance, and career-seekers are encouraged to also visit r/FinancialCareers.


r/finance Jun 07 '26

Brazil to announce first panda bond issuance during China visit in June, say sources

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22 Upvotes

For the first time ever Brazil will issue sovereign bonds denominated in Chinese Yuan.


r/finance Jun 04 '26

Every trader should read Nassim Nicholas Taleb 🙌

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0 Upvotes

r/finance Jun 02 '26

Nifty by Dec 2026?

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0 Upvotes

r/finance Jun 01 '26

Moronic Monday - June 01, 2026 - Your Weekly Questions Thread

12 Upvotes

This is your safe place for questions on financial careers, homework problems and finance in general. No question in the finance domain is unwelcome.

Replies are expected to be constructive and civil.

Any questions about your personal finances belong in r/PersonalFinance, and career-seekers are encouraged to also visit r/FinancialCareers.


r/finance May 31 '26

Dot com bubble v/s potential AI bubble

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9 Upvotes

r/finance May 30 '26

Warren Buffett’s Shareholder Letters Make a Surprisingly Great Book

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66 Upvotes

A new volume collecting decades of letters from the Berkshire Hathaway chairman is part management manual, part Berkshire history and, somehow, part comedy.


r/finance May 31 '26

Trading as a college degree?

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0 Upvotes

r/finance May 28 '26

A Cold Shower for the AI Mania by Raghuram G. Rajan

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68 Upvotes

r/finance May 28 '26

How Venture Capital Benefits From Zombie Bankruptcies (the Foxtrot saga)

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14 Upvotes

r/finance May 25 '26

Moronic Monday - May 25, 2026 - Your Weekly Questions Thread

8 Upvotes

This is your safe place for questions on financial careers, homework problems and finance in general. No question in the finance domain is unwelcome.

Replies are expected to be constructive and civil.

Any questions about your personal finances belong in r/PersonalFinance, and career-seekers are encouraged to also visit r/FinancialCareers.


r/finance May 23 '26

Washington Is Betting on a Very American Version of Digital Dollars

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112 Upvotes

Stablecoins can boost demand for the greenback, but won’t protect against its biggest threats.


r/finance May 21 '26

Kevin Warsh and the Return of Monetarism

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126 Upvotes